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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2021-07-27T03:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2021-07-27T03:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17401/-1
CME Note: The source is an eruption from AR 2849 (~S15E25) in AIA 193, AIA 304, and EUVI A 195 starting at 2021-07-27T01:51Z, with darkening and bright post-eruptive arcades. It is associated with the long duration B1.9 class flare peaking at 2021-07-27T02:13Z
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-07-30T22:27Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note: 
% Compiled module: EAM_V2.
******************************************************************************
Most pr. speed = 420.0 km/s 
The EAM version you are running is: v2
u_r =      472.856
Acceleration:    -0.0861901
Duration in seconds:        327814.39
Duration in days:        3.7941480
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Acceleration of the CME:  -0.09 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  444.6 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 30/07/2021 Time: 22:27 UT
Lead Time: 63.45 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2021-07-28T07:00Z
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